The firm surveyed 700 voters that are registered to vote in the June 20 runoff election between the two candidates. Of those 700 respondents, 549 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted in the runoff or were “certain to do so before the June 12 deadline.”
It’s the most expensive race for a House seat ever, and it’s become an “ad war” ever since campaigns officially launched back in January, as NPR reported May 21. The total amount spent on TV ads alone is on track to eclipse $30 million — more than one-third the amount the Trump campaign spent on a nationwide, presidential election.
The firm surveyed 700 voters that are registered to vote in the June 20 runoff election between the two candidates. Of those 700 respondents, 549 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted in the runoff or were “certain to do so before the June 12 deadline.” It gauged responses from voters via cell phone and landline and gathered answers from May 16-20.
The poll found that 52 percent of women said they’d vote for Ossoff, while 43 percent said they would lend their support to Handel. Handel is the favorite with voters aged 50 and older (52-43) with Ossoff having a large advantage with young voters (59-34).
To see the complete results of the new survey, click here.
The methodology — using a voter list with so many of them having confirmed they voted — is the first to be used in polling throughout the race, meaning it could have some merit come election day.
FiveThirtyEight gave SurveyUSA an “A” in its pollster rating, noting that it’s correctly called 90 percent of races with its polls. It’s got a mean-reverted bias of “D +0.1,” meaning it typically leans Democrat 0.1 percent of the time in its polls.
SurveyUSA said in its findings that the race is still “close enough in a low-turnout, stand-alone runoff to be anyone’s call,” adding that Ossoff currently sits in a much better position than Handel to win.
Ossoff notably lives just outside of the 6th district with his fiancee, Alisha Kramer. He’s vowed to stick by her side as she finishes up school at Emory University and has said that if he were to win the seat, he would move back within the district, which covers much of Atlanta’s northern suburbs.
With that in mind, a second question in the poll asked voters’ views of Ossoff living outside of the 6th district and if that plays a role in swaying their vote. Eighty-four percent of registered Democrats and 21 percent of registered Republicans said it is “not an issue.”
Another question on the survey asked if Handel not having a college degree plays a role in swaying their vote. Fifty-eight percent of total respondents said they don’t consider it an issue while 21 percent said it’s a “minor issue.”
Reposted from www.heavy.com